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Iran’s Aluminum Wire Rod Market Outlook Report

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Aluminum wire rod is generally produced using one of three processes: continuous casting and rolling, direct casting, and extrusion. The production process affects the dimensions, shape, quality, and purity of the wire rod. Most of the wire rod produced through extrusion is packed in bundles, but wire rod that is produced through casting is often packed as coils. Most of the wire rod coil produced in Iran is through continuous casting and rolling. The process involves the continuous casting of billets and then rolling it into wire rod with the desired thickness.

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Product Description

The production of aluminum wires and cables accounts for the main consumption of wire rod. Mechanical applications such as rivets, screws, fences, and meshes are also large consumers. Demand for aluminum wires and cables from electrical industries and related consumers is expected to be steady over the coming years.

With a GDP of $415 billion in 2019, Iran was the third largest economy in the region that year. While the country’s economy was steadily growing after the drop in 2012 due to the sanctions, it dipped once again in 2019 thanks to the return of the sanctions. Although the production of aluminum has a longer history in Iran compared to other countries in the region, it currently stands as the sixth largest producer on a regional scale. Nonetheless, as new aluminum smelters are commissioned in the country, it will definitely advance to the fifth place.

Market drivers of aluminum wire rod

Aluminum is a major substitution threat to copper; as the spread between the two metals widens with rising copper prices, the threat becomes stronger. Since the consumption of copper as wire rod for the production of wires and cables accounts for a large share of the red metal’s consumption, increasing prices of copper and copper products will support demand for aluminum wire rod. In addition to the price advantage of aluminum over copper, its specific conductance per unit of weight is higher than that of copper. This is crucial in power transmission lines and systems. As the transmission expands to remote areas where the distance between transmission towers needs to be greater, light-weight cables will prove beneficial. This will boost the demand for aluminum wires and cables, which are much lighter than copper ones.

Infrastructure development (renovation or expansion) directly depends on the country’s development budget, which has decreased over the past years. In fiscal 2008, development budgets accounted for 31.9% of the country’s total general current budget, but it dropped to 21.1% in 2018. As economic pressures on the country mount, the share of development budgets is expected to shrink, which will weigh on infrastructure development and minimize the renovation or expansion of transmission systems. As the final piece in the domino, demand for high-voltage wires and cables will fall.

Overview of Iran’s aluminum wire rod market

Iran’s aluminum wire rod trade balance has moved from net imports of 2,500 tonnes in 2009 to net exports of 1,700 tonnes in 2018 as capacities were developed and overcapacity grew. Iraq has been the main receiver of Iran’s aluminum wire rod. The tensions between Iran and the West are expected to continue, blocking the supply of raw materials for primary aluminum. Thus, the availability of primary aluminum for wire rod is forecast to tighten, which will have to be replaced by scrap. Meanwhile, there are downside risks to wire rod demand due to the economic conditions. Overall, the country’s wire rod trade balance is likely to tip towards the negative side.

Breakdown of Iran’s aluminum wire rod market

Domestic demand for aluminum wire rod in the forecast timeframe as well as the previous period has been broken down using three factors. The first factor breaks down the market into three categories based on alloy material: commercially pure aluminum, heat-treatable alloys, and non-heat-treatable alloys. Past and future trends for each type of material have been analyzed. Commercially pure aluminum holds the largest share of the market. In the second breakdown, products are distinguished based on diameter: 9.5mm, 12mm, and other sizes; the 9.5mm wire rod accounts for a major share of the market. Finally, using the third factor, aluminum wire rod is categorized based on applications in different industries. The power industry is the largest consumer of aluminum wire rod in Iran.

Key players in Iran’s aluminum wire rod market:

  • Alumrod
  • Zagros Kohrang Aluminium
  • Rasana Sanat Eshtehard
  • Simcat
  • Simin Cable Tak Kashan
  • Mesbar Kaveh Co.

Additional Information

Industry

Aluminium Longs
Region

Iran
Report Type

Industry Report

Specifications

Report Attribute Details
The base year for estimation 2021
Historical data 2011-2020
Forecast period 2021-2026
Quantitative units Value in USD and Volume in Tonne
Report coverage Market Overview, Dynamics, Market Outlook, Risks to Forecast, Consumer Market, Industry Overview, Market Landscape, Competitive Landscape, Market Attractiveness, External Macro Environment Analysis
Segments covered Composition, Type, Application
Pricing and purchase options Please explore our purchase options to meet your exact research needs.

Reasons to Buy

  • Recognize the geographical distribution of import demand
  • Identify the current and future key players of the trading market
  • Achieve a better insight on potential target markets
  • Understand the behavior of major suppliers/customers either globally or regionally
  • Identify competitors as a feed for market analysis

Table of Content

1- Executive summary

2- Introduction

2-1- Objective

2-2- Market under study

2-3- Product

2-3-1- Product specifications

2-3-2- Consumption structure

2-3-2-1- Applications

2-4- Physical properties

2-5- Subjects discussed

2-6- Geographical scope under study

2-7- Study timeframe

2-8- Study currency

2-9- Potential audience

3- Market dynamics

3-1- Market drivers

3-2- Restraints

3-3- Opportunities

3-4- Challenges

4- Market overview

4-1- Market size

4-2- Industry capacities

4-2-1- Existing capacities

4-2-1-1- Capacity distribution

4-2-1-2- Geographical distribution of capacities

4-2-2- Future capacities

4-3- Output

4-3-1- Output trends

4-3-2- Operating rates

4-4- Consumption

4-4-1- Consumption trend

4-4-2- Consumption Share of domestic product

4-5- Trade

4-5-1- Exports

4-5-2- Imports

4-5-3- Trade balance

4-5-4- Market balance

4-6- Market breakdown by product type

4-7- Market breakdown by product type

4-8- Market breakdown by application

4-9- Inventory

4-9-1- Producers inventory

4-9-2- Consumers inventory

4-9-3- Traders inventory

5- Market outlook

5-1- Market factors

5-1-1- Raw materials

5-1-2- Costs and prices

5-1-3- Competition

5-1-4- The government

5-1-5- Other factors

5-2- Future scenarios

5-3- Risks to forecast

6- Consumer markets

6-1- End-user markets

6-1-1- Building construction

6-1-2- Infrastructure construction

6-1-3- Transportation manufacturing

6-1-4- Industrial equipment manufacturing

6-1-5- Durable goods manufacturing

6-1-6- Consumable goods manufacturing

6-2- Direct consumer markets

6-2-1- Major Direct consumers

6-2-1-1- Existing capacities

6-2-1-2- Drivers

7- Export potentials

7-1- Destinations

7-1-1- Trade and insurance costs

7-1-2- Import market suppliers

7-1-3- Producers potential share

8- Industry overview

8-1- Raw materials

8-1-1- The supply volume of raw materials

8-1-2- Supply channels of raw materials

8-1-3- Raw materials procurement costs

8-2- Cost structure of producers

8-3- Production cost curve

8-4- Industry value added

8-5- Generated new scrap

8-6- Technology

9- Market landscape

9-1- Domestic sales markets

9-1-1- Pricing in the domestic market

9-1-2- Potential domestic demand

9-1-3- Trade agreements for imports

9-1-4- Foreign suppliers

9-2- Foreign sales market

9-2-1- Prices

9-2-2- Potential markets overview

9-2-3- Trade agreements for exports

9-2-4- Foreign customers

10- Competitive landscape

10-1- Producers

10-1-1-1- Company profile

10-1-1-2- Revenue structure

10-1-1-3- Gross profit margins

10-1-1-4- Capacity, output and sales

10-2- Consumers

10-2-1-1- Company profile

10-2-1-2- Revenue structure

10-2-1-3- Gross profit margins

10-2-1-4- Capacity, output and sales

11- Market attractiveness

11-1- Industry rivalry

11-2- Threat of new entrants

11-3- Threat of substitutes

11-4- Bargaining power of buyers

11-5- Bargaining power of suppliers

11-6- Conclusion of Porter analysis

12- PESTEL analysis

12-1- Political factors

12-2- Economic factors

12-3- Social factors

12-4- Technology factors

12-5- Environmental factors

12-6- Legal factors

13- SWOT analysis

13-1- Large-scale companies with favorable conditions

13-1-1- Short-term strategies

13-1-2- Long-term strategies

13-2- Large-scale companies with unfavorable conditions

13-2-1- Short-term strategies

13-2-2- Long-term strategies

13-3- Small enterprises with favorable conditions

13-3-1- Short-term strategies

13-3-2- Long-term strategies

13-4- Small enterprises with unfavorable conditions

13-4-1- Short-term strategies

13-4-2- Long-term strategies

List of Figures

  1. Output and consumption; 2011-2020
  2. Market share of product applications; 2020
  3. Market surplus; 2019-2026
  4. Production process flowchart
  5. Market size; 2011-2026
  6. Existing capacity; 2011-2020
  7. Capacity distribution; 2020
  8. Geographic distribution of capacities; 2020
  9. Development of future capacity; 2011-2026
  10. Amount of output; 2011-2026
  11. Operating rates of production plants; 2011-2026
  12. Amount of consumption; 2011-2026
  13. Consumption share of domestic product; 2011-2026
  14. Exports of product; 2011-2020
  15. Imports of product; 2011-2020
  16. Historical trade balance; 2011-2020
  17. Future Market balance; 2021-2026
  18. Market output breakdown by alloy type; 2011-2026
  19. Market consumption breakdown by alloy type; 2011-2026
  20. Market balance breakdown by alloy type; 2011-2026
  21. Market output breakdown by product type; 2011-2026
  22. Market consumption breakdown by product type; 2011-2026
  23. Market balance breakdown by product type; 2011-2026
  24. Market consumption breakdown by application; 2011-2026
  25. Inventories of raw materials and products at producers factories; 2011-2020
  26. Consumers’ inventory of product; 2011-2020
  27. Traders’ inventory; 2011-2020
  28. Production forecast, according to raw materials and sales analysis; 2019-2026
  29. Market surplus; 2019-2026
  30. The share of end-user industries in the consumption; 2011 and 2020
  31. Changes in the end-consumption of extrusion products; 2020 vs 2026
  32. Applications in building construction industry; 2020
  33. Applications in infrastructure construction industry; 2020
  34. Applications in transportation manufacturing industry; 2020
  35. Applications in industrial equipment manufacturing industry; 2020
  36. Applications in durable goods manufacturing industry; 2020
  37. Applications in consumable goods manufacturing industry; 2020
  38. Capacity distribution structure of direct consumers; 2020
  39. Existing capacities of direct consumers in each province; 2020
  40. Suppliers of the export potential destination; 2020
  41. Historical exports to the export potential destination and future potential; 2016-2026
  42. Up-stream domestic supply; 2011-2020
  43. Raw materials domestic supply; 2011-2020
  44. Supply channels of producer plants
  45. Spot price of raw material in the market; 2011-2026
  46. Cash cost structure for production the product; 2020
  47. Production cost curve of the plants; 2020
  48. Gross value added of the industry; 2011-2020
  49. Generated new scrap; 2011-2020
  50. Sales channels
  51. Realized price of the product in the market; 2011-2026
  52. Potential demand of each province; 2020
  53. The main foreign suppliers to the market; 2011-2020
  54. FOB price vs domestic market; 2011-2026
  55. Map of global major importers > 20,000t; 2020
  56. Major foreign customers; 2011-2020
  57. Revenue structure of the producers; FY2020
  58. Sales income and gross profit margin of the producers; FY2011-2020
  59. Output and sales of the producers; FY2011-2020
  60. Revenue structure of the consumers; FY2020
  61. Sales income and gross profit margin of the consumers; FY2011-2020
  62. Output and sales of the consumers; FY2011-2020
  63. SWOT matrix for large-scale companies with favorable conditions
  64. Strategies positioning for large-scale companies with favorable conditions
  65. SWOT matrix for large-scale companies with unfavorable conditions
  66. Strategies positioning for large-scale companies with unfavorable conditions
  67. SWOT matrix for small enterprises with favorable conditions
  68. Strategies positioning for small enterprises with favorable conditions
  69. SWOT matrix for small enterprises with unfavorable conditions
  70. Strategies positioning for small enterprises with unfavorable conditions

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